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Yesterday, the New York Times and the Washington Post ran more or less the same story about the upcoming midterms. The Post asked the Democratic and Republican nominees in nineteen gubernatorial or US Senate races whether they will accept the result in November; all but one of the Democrats (the one did not respond) said yes, whereas only seven Republicans did likewise, with the other twelve either refusing to commit or not responding at all. Not to be one-upped, the Times asked both partiesâ nominees in twenty gubernatorial or Senate races the same question; all the Democrats said yes, whereas six of the Republicans declined to commit and a further six either ignored or batted away the question. And several of the candidates who said they would accept the results have previously cast doubt on the outcome of the 2020 electionânot least Adam Laxalt, the GOP Senate nominee in Nevada. âOf course heâll accept Nevadaâs certified election results,â a spokesperson for Laxalt told the Times, âeven if your failing publication wonât.â
The Times story was paired on the paperâs homepage yesterday with a much bigger read: a six-thousand-word essay by David Leonhardt, who typically (and sometimes controversially) anchors the paperâs flagship morning newsletter, describing âtwin threatsâ to US democracy. The first, which Leonhardt described as âacute,â essentially echoed his colleaguesâ new reporting on GOP candidates: âa growing movement inside one of the countryâs two major partiesâthe Republican Partyâto refuse to accept defeat in an election.â
ICYMI: Obi Anyadike on East African drought and covering climate in the Global South
The second threat (or set of threats), which Leonhardt described as âchronic but also growing,â is subtlerâthe idea that âthe power to set government policy is becoming increasingly disconnected from public opinionââand Leonhardt devoted much of his essay to laying it out. The chronic threats âgenerally spring from enduring features of American government, some written into the Constitution,â Leonhardt wrote, but âdid not conflict with majority opinion to the same degree in past decades.â More populous states, already representationally disadvantaged by the mechanics of the Senate and the Electoral College, have grown disproportionately, further diluting their per-capita political voice. At the same time, those states have become more liberal while less populous states have become more conservativeâa process of âgeographic sorting,â as Leonhardt put it, that has layered partisan correlation on top of a system that was already antidemocratic. The less populous states that enjoy outsize power are also disproportionately white. Whereas, before 2000, only three presidents won the Electoral College after losing the popular vote, twoâboth Republicansâhave since done so. The same dynamics have helped bring about disproportionate Republican representation in the Senate, where minority power was already reinforced by the filibuster. Together, presidents and senators set the direction of the Supreme Court, whose recent influence need not be restated. Meanwhile, in the House, gerrymandering and geographic sorting have disproportionately hurt Democrats. Similar trends have been observed in many state legislatures, with Republicans then using their control to implement voting restrictions. In sum, the political scientist Steven Levitsky told Leonhardt, the US is âfar and away the most countermajoritarian democracy in the world.â
Leonhardt ended his essay with a warning about the intersection of the twin threats. âIf the only challenges to democracy involved these chronic, long-developing forces, many experts would be less concerned than they are. American democracy has always been flawed, after all,â he wrote. âBut the slow-building ways in which majority rule is being undermined are happening at the same time that the country faces an immediate threat that has little precedent.â Add the two together, and âAmerican democracy has never faced a threat quite like the current one.â
Like other critics, I found aspects of Leonhardtâs essay to indulge questionable historical framing or contemporary bothsidesism, especially in his analysis of the first, acute threat. âIn some cases, [Republicansâ claims that they are merely trying to protect American values] rely on falsehoodsâabout election fraud, Mr. Bidenâs supposed âsocialism,â Barack Obamaâs birthplace, and more,â Leonhardt wrote, in the essayâs weakest passage. âIn others, they are rooted in anxiety over real developments, including illegal immigration and âcancel culture.ââ Other passages, though, were much more clear-eyed about the acute threat and who is responsible for it; I particularly appreciated the mention of Virginia governor Glenn Youngkin and his âwinking referencesâ to Trumpâs election lies, a departure from much credulous punditry that has cast Youngkin as a savvy, post-Trump moderate. In the end, the greatest value of Leonhardtâs essay came not in its line-by-line framing but in its core concept: its presentation of threats to democracy as a function not only of election subversion, but of unresponsiveness in Americaâs governing institutions, including those that, far from being subverted, are working as intended.
This sort of analysis is far from new, of course, and we should, as ever, be wary of acknowledging a strain of thought only after it has appeared on the front page of the Times (as Leonhardtâs essay did in print yesterday, above the fold and below a four-column illustration of a fraying US flag). A great many journalists, academics, and commentators have pointed out the unfitness of Americaâs institutional settlement, and the close links between that and what Leonhardt refers to as the acute crisis of American democracy. Some have done so in the pages of the Times; in one particularly impressive example, Jamelle Bouie, a columnist at the paper, has recently laid out provocative and imaginative suggestions for radical reforms of the Supreme Court, the Senate, and the House, starting a dialogue with his readers in the process.
Still, something struck me about Leonhardtâs essay, and it lies, I think, in my sense that major news organizations have not to this point done as much as they collectively could have to convene broad debates about routine institutional dysfunction and how it might be fixed, given how many big current stories are downstream of that dysfunction. Dissecting the basic failures of democratic institutions and imagining more representative alternatives should not just be a matter for the op-ed pages, or chin-strokey podcast discussions, or academic symposia, or Sunday-morning long reads (though it is good fodder for all of these). It should also inflect day-to-day coverage of American politics. Sometimes it does; coverage of the Supreme Court, for instance, often notes that big recent decisions do not reflect majority sentiment in the country. And yet so much day-to-day political journalism seems mired in either complacency or cynicism; the sense that everything is just fine or the sense that, even if it isnât, nothing can be done about it anywayâat least not at an institutional level. (We donât lack for behavioral calls for more bipartisanship.)
Reforming some institutions, of course, would require changing the Constitution, which is very hard to do. (Though not impossible: two Brennan Center staffers wrote for Politico last year that, if history is any guide, weâre due a rush of constitutional amendments right around now, and that prior rushes were themselves preceded by media pessimism about the impossibility of reform. The Post in 1904: âOur fundamental law is practically unamendable by peaceful and regular methods.â) Still, the press devoting more expansive space, more consistently, to the story of democratic dysfunction and reform has value whether or not prospects for reform are realistic. It should, simply, be the job of the media to facilitate big debates about things in society that donât work. The institutional architecture underpinning everything else isnât too big a thing to be debated.
At a time when basic election rules are at risk of collapse, devoting airtime and column inches to discussions around, say, radically changing the proportionality mechanics of those rules (as Bouie and others have suggested, and Alaska has recently done) might seem indulgent. But, as Leonhardt and others have shown, the two discussions are linked. As Iâve written before, saving democracy requires more of the press than guarding against the most explicit immediate threats to it; it requires scrutiny of how a whole political system is performing what should be its basic functions. And the latter, we should remember, is an evergreen demand. Sometimes, journalists and commentators frame explicit threats to overturn elections as a question of probabilityâthe likelihood or not of the worst coming to pass, a legitimate yet limiting prism that can easily slide into either complacency or cynicism, depending on your assessment. Functionality offers a second, universal reason for the press to stay focused on democracy. To borrow the old saw about climate change, whatever the actual extent of the threat, a cleaner environment benefits everyone.
Again, this isnât to say that the media should dilute its focus on the acute threat to coming electionsâmedia critics, myself included, want the urgency around that ratcheted up, not down. Itâs to say, rather, that while American democracy might die if a coming election gets overturned, avoiding such a fate wonât represent a clean bill of health and thus an excuse for the political press to move away from a democracy focus. The Timesâ and Postâs weekend stories asking candidates whether theyâll accept their results were a useful starting point for democracy coverageâthey got (at least some of) the candidatesâ intentions on the record, and exposed a chasm between the Democrats and the GOP without any more effort than sending both parties the same very basic questionnaire. But this sort of exercise is also limited. Thatâs true in a narrow, methodological sense: respondents may have lied, of course; confusingly, J.D. Vance, the Republican Senate nominee in Ohio, is recorded as having committed to accept his result to the Post, but declined to do so to the Times. Itâs also limited in a much broader sense.
Below, more on democracy:
- Unconventional: Earlier this month, Carl Hulse, of the Times, reported on a push by some leading Republicans to have Congress call a fresh Constitutional Conventionâa gambit that would rest on the successful application of an arcane constitutional provision suggesting that two-thirds of state legislatures can petition Congress to call one, and that would seek to amend the Constitution to place constraints on federal fiscal powers (and perhaps not stop there). Russ Feingold, a former Democratic senator and president of the American Constitution Society, told Hulse that the likelihood of this happening isnât as far-fetched as skeptics might think, and warned that it could pose a huge threat to democracy. Still, Feingold and Peter Prindiville, a constitutional scholar, reckon that âthe time has come to begin a serious national conversation regarding the future of the Constitution in American public life,â and for Americans to work toward âan amendment procedure fit for a modern, democratic society.â
- At a Beschloss: Politicoâs Michael Schaffer spoke with Michael Beschloss, the straitlaced presidential historian and pundit, about what Schaffer calls Beschlossâs âradicalizationâ in light of present threats to democracy. âUntil roughly 2017, I was not inclined to take public positions on current events. And that is because I did not feel that democracy was under immediate and serious threat,â Beschloss told Schaffer. âBut if you and I had talked earlier, and we had been told that in the near future, democracy was going to be in danger and a President might be eager to tear apart just about every major institution of democracy that you care about, including free and fair elections as well as the rule of lawâwould you speak out? I would have said yes, I certainly would.â
- A poll: Last week, polling from The 19th* found that while a strong majority of Americans agree that the media is still a âcritical componentâ of democracy, many feel that its coverage doesnât represent people like them, with the latter finding much sharper among Republican respondents than Democrats. âAn increasingly diverse country does not see itself reflected in the media,â Errin Haines wrote in an analysis of the numbers. âCommunities of color, LGBTQ+ people and marginalized groups are still underrepresented in both who covers the news and what news is covered. Some White Americans view the countryâs diversity and its reflection in the media as a threat to their representation. Audiences are skeptical that we can cover their concerns or communities fully. That concern was seized on, sometimes with violent language,â by Trump.
- Queenly concern: The Philadelphia Inquirerâs Will Bunch argues that US networksâ over-the-top recent coverage of the queenâs death is a troubling sign at a time of rising autocracy. âThis celebration of soft autocracy is offering cover for the steady rise of the more dangerous kind, here in America and around the globe,â he writes. âGreat Britain is about to coronate a new king right as America is losing sight of the values that caused us to fight so valiantly to reject monarchical tyranny all those years ago. We really need to be talking about this, and not hypnotizing democracy to death by watching a royal hearse roll for hours on end.â (ICYMI, I wrote about OTT Queen Coverage on Friday.)
Other notable stories:
- Last week, a document appeared on the public docket of the Trump-records-handling case that purported to have been filed by the Treasury Department and ordered CNN to preserve âleaked tax records,â among other instructions. The filing âhad the hallmarks of another explosive storylineâ in the case, the AP reportsâbut it was actually a clear fake that likely originated with a known forger in a North Carolina prison, raising questions about how courts vet âdocuments that purport to be official records.â Meanwhile, the Post reported that Trump officials assured the National Archives last year that the former president had only taken boxes of ânews clippingsâ to Mar-a-Lago after leaving office.
- Also last week, Ron DeSantis, the Republican governor of Florida, flew dozens of Venezuelan and Colombian migrants to Marthaâs Vineyard, in Massachusettsâa stunt designed to divert political attention to the border and the Biden administrationâs handling thereof. Right-wing outlets predictably lapped up the stunt, but Politicoâs Gary Fineout reports that it could hurt DeSantis with Hispanic voters in South Florida, where the fallout has âdominated the radio and television airwavesâ; one Spanish-language radio host, Fineout writes, denounced the move as the sort of thing that Fidel Castro once did.
- Politicoâs Daniel Lippman, Christopher Cadelago, and Max Tani report on tensions between journalists at the LA Times and the paperâs owner, Patrick Soon-Shiong, and his family. In interviews with dozens of current and former staffers, Politico heard that Soon-Shiongâs interest can be âephemeralâ but also that he and his daughter Nika Soon-Shiong have sometimes meddled in coverage. (They deny encroaching on the paperâs editorial independence.) There have also been tensions in the DC bureau.
- Last week, I wrote in this newsletter about threats to student journalism and noted the case of an LA high school paper whose faculty adviser was issued a suspension after refusing to retroactively censor a story about vaccine mandates. On Friday, a school district official rescinded the suspension after the adviserâs union pointed to a state law protecting press freedom for students. Christian Martinez has more for the LA Times.
- Juliana Feliciano Reyes, a reporter at the Philadelphia Inquirer, detailed her fight to obtain public records from septa, the local transit authority, which sued Reyes in a bid to avoid releasing separation agreements with former executives that a source had told Reyes would reveal âcushy deals.â septa sued even though the state had ordered it to hand over the records. In the end, the agency complied, with some redactions.
- Yesterday, the Post retired âOutlook,â its Sunday print section for commentary and analysis, after sixty-eight years of publication; its content will migrate to the paperâs print Opinions section and its website. Outlookâs mission was âdesigned for a print audience,â its former editors write, with the decision to retire it serving as âa measure of how dramatically the newspaper business has changed in its march from print to digital.â
- The US State Department and the Israeli government may have concluded that, while an Israeli soldier likely killed the Palestinian-American journalist Shireen Abu Akleh in May, they did so accidentally, but several US senators arenât satisfied. Theyâre demanding that State share its full report on the killing and pushing for a fresh, independent probe while insisting that US military aid to Israel should be restricted if the killing was intentional.
- On Friday, Kais Saied, the president of Tunisia, issued a decree mandating lengthy jail terms for those who spread supposed fake news online, especially if the subject is an official. The countryâs journalistsâ union decried the move as âa strong blow to the revolutionary values that granted freedom to all journalists and all Tunisiansâ in the wake of the Arab Spring. (I wrote in July about the recent decline of press freedom in Tunisia.)
- And Washington City Paperâs Tom Sherwood charted the ânearly three-year odysseyâ of the ashes of Mark Plotkin, a well-known DC journalist and commentator who died in 2019 but, for various reasons, still hasnât been laid to rest. Kojo Nnamdi, a radio host who knew Plotkin, said of the delay: âI think, knowing how angry Mark would get for the most trivial reasons, that Mark would be angry enough to rise from the dead.â
ICYMI: Cancel culture, queues, and the queen
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