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During the early days of the Internet, business reporters wandered the earth, pom-poms in hand, cheering for seemingly every investment idea on the planet. Oh, how the times have changed.
Take, for example, the current issue of Business 2.0, in which a team of reporters employ an altogether different approach — specifically, cheering for every investment idea not on this planet.
Under the headline, âThe Entrepreneurâs Guide to Outer Space,â the editors of Business 2.0 offer this somber assessment of the space industry: âPrepare for Liftoff: The space business may be the most incredible new opportunity of your lifetime.â
In other words, Mars is the new Silicon Valley. From that startling premise, the magazineâs starry-eyed reporters at Business 2.0 embark on a back-to-the-future romp through the final frontier that will surely cause nostalgia for the go-go Internet prose of the â90s.
âA critical mass of entrepreneurs — some with familiar names like Bezos and Branson — have been backing space-related companies for years,â reports Business 2.0. âIn the coming months, their efforts will reach blastoff stage (quite literally). Some of the markets they’re targeting ⌠are ripe for competition. But most, such as suborbital tourism, space hotels, and solar satellites, don’t yet exist. All, however, have the potential to generate astronomical returns during the next decade.â
All of which left us astronomically skeptical. After all, the last time we checked in with the American space industry, it was still picking up the pieces of the Columbia Space Shuttle and hoping that the federal governmentâs skyrocketing deficits wouldnât ground NASAâs lofty budget.
Then again, weâre willing to admit that until picking up Business 2.0, we hadnât even heard about that future linchpin of space travel, known as the space elevator. Thatâs right: according to reporter Georgia Flight, the next big thing in space travel could be really, really, really tall elevators.
âThe theory behind the elevator is simple,â writes Flight. âFirst proposed 111 years ago by a Russian scientist, it was popularized by Arthur C. Clarke in his award-winning 1978 novel, The Fountains of Paradise, and goes like this: Earth is constantly spinning. So if you attach a counterweight to it with a cable, and put it far enough away — 62,000 miles — the cable will be held taut by the force of the planet’s rotation, just as if you spun around while holding a ball on a string. And if you’ve got a taut cable, you’ve got the makings of an elevator.â
âA working elevator would reduce the cost of launching anything into space by roughly 98 percent,â adds Flight. âBusiness won’t have seen anything like it since the railroad.â
So who will become the first, overnight space-elevator tycoon, the first Bill Gates of the space-elevator age? Business 2.0 doesnât hazard any guesses. But it does introduce us to a handful of A-list entrepreneurs who are currently tinkering with space ventures, including Microsoft co-founder Paul Allen, Amazon founder Jeff Bezos, and Doom creator John Carmack.
Thatâs quite a roster of potential space entrepreneurs. Nevertheless, itâs hard to deny that whereas people who play in space are often super-rich, people donât often get super-rich by playing in space.
Perhaps as a concession to this dour bit of realism, the editors include in their entrepreneurial space package a helpful sub-section entitled âHow to Get Your Slice of NASAâs $400 Billion,â which is sort of an Idiotâs Guide to Space Graft. Although it lacks any practical advice on, say, how to hire a topflight space lobbyist, the section does offer this gem of investment advice: âGet to know procurement employees at your nearest NASA facility.â
Finally, Business 2.0 offers a round-up of other potentially lucrative space ventures, including orbital labs (market size: $10 billion a year by 2015), space tourism ($1 billion a year by 2023), asteroid mining ($10 billion a year by 2030), and the marketing of moon gas.
âNASA plans a return to the Moon by 2020, as a first step on the way to Mars,â notes the magazine. âOur lunar neighbor may also have about a million tons of helium-3 — a potential energy source that could be worth $7 billion a ton.â
Apparently not every business reporter has forgotten that all-important tradition of the â90s — promising readers and investors the moon.
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