The big news out of Copenhagen yesterday was the leak of an informal agreement drafted by the Danish government. The document aims for the scientifically recommended target of limiting global temperature rise to 2 degrees Celsius, but has drawn widespread criticism for placing stricter emissions-reduction requirements on developing nations than on developed ones.
“The Danish Text,” as the Guardian—which first published the document—dubbed it, provoked many worrisome headlines in the media. The Sydney Morning Herald, to take but one example, carried three separate headlines announcing that the text had led to “disarray,” “sparked outrage,” and “thrown the summit into confusion.” It’s hard to tell because we aren’t there, but these headlines may have been somewhat sensationalistic. Most of the criticism appears to be coming from activists rather than other delegates, and evidence of real disarray is lacking. A headline in The Australian reported, “Poor nations threaten to walkout on Copenhagen deal,” but the article itself reveals that they did no such thing [Update: Politico reports that the chief negotiator for the G77 - a bloc of 130 developing nations - “stormed out” of climate talks on Friday, announcing his opinion that the negotiations were “not going well.”]:
Lumumba Stanislaus Di-Aping, a Sudanese diplomat who speaks for the Group of 77 developing countries, said the draft was a “serious violation that threatens the success of the Copenhagen negotiating process.”
“The G77 members will not walk out of this negotiation at this late hour because we can’t afford a failure in Copenhagen,” he said. “However, we will not sign an unequitable deal. We can’t accept a deal that condemns 80 per cent of the world population to further suffering and injustice.”
Admirably following up on its initial scoop, the Guardian ran a concise, level-headed assessment of the text’s significance and the Danish delegation’s efforts to “patch things up after the leak”:
[T]he document dates back to November 27. It is as such already old news in terms of the now ongoing negotiations… Danish officials are trying their best to play down the significance of the paper in question.
However, the document does raise problems when it comes to the Danish hosts’ ability to remain neutral during the complicated and probably difficult process of getting the developing world to agree to an economic deal with the developed world. This is not the kind of publicity Rasmussen and his team have been looking for – far from it…
Now, before the real negotiations have actually begun, it would appear that the Danish government has been trying to establish some kind of underlying consensus among the big western players. This will not warm the delegates from the developing world to the already cold and wet experience of being in Copenhagen, and certainly not make Rasmussen’s already difficult task any easier.
The Danish hosts now need to come clean about their intentions.
More news outlets should be striving for reports like this, which provide important context and analysis while avoiding blanket statements about outrage and disarray. An interesting story from Bloomberg reported that the plan was never officially “on the table,” but that summit participants were concerned about negotiators working about outside the formal United Nations process. They may not have to wait long, however.
As Los Angeles Times reporter Jim Tankersley pointed out Tuesday, the leak signifies that “it’s time for the bargaining-table leaks to begin, as veterans of past climate summits will tell you.”
The other big story, which broke Tuesday before the leak of The Danish Text, was the U.N. World Meteorological Organization’s release of an analysis which found that the current decade is likely to be the warmest since instrumental record-keeping began in the 1850s. That auspicious announcement followed another one: the Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA) official declaration Monday that carbon dioxide endangers public health. The so-called endangerment finding clears the way for the agency to regulate around 13,600 major emitters across the United States, although its director, Lisa Jackson, and the Obama administration have made it clear they prefer that Congress pass legislation to address emissions.
The connections to the U.N. climate summit are, of course, clear. Reuters reported that the EPA’s ruling “sent a message to the world” that the United States is committed to reducing greenhouse-gas emissions. The Wall Street Journal’s Ian Talley argued that it give the U.S. “leverage in its negotiations” at Copenhagen. But few if any articles have come out of Copenhagen analyzing the endangerment finding’s impact there. That may or may not change after Jackson’s speech at the summit today. [Update: Greenwire reports that Jackson told journalists Wednesday that the summit wasn’t the EPA’s “impetus” for the endangerment finding.]
Writing about the World Meteorological Organization’s temperature analysis, however, The New York Times’s Andrew Revkin and James Kanter observed that “it was the gulf between rich and poor nations, not the science of global warming, that dominated talks here on Tuesday as delegates fretted about different pieces of draft language for a new climate treaty [The Danish Text mentioned above] circulating in the halls.”
Indeed, political battles over details of possible agreements will become more prominent with each passing day. Revkin and Kanter filed another piece Wednesday about delegates “racing among the booths and offices of countries large and small, comparing competing ‘nonpapers’ — sections of the proposed text with no official existence — in the quest to hash out a realistic draft of a new climate agreement by the weekend.”
While climate science may not have been a big topic of conversation inside the conferences halls, it was certainly conspicuous in the media. A “skeptics conference” taking place nearby the U.N. climate summit got limited attention, but many articles coming out of Copenhagen are still making some mention of the controversial e-mails hacked from a British climate research center two weeks ago, as well as the arguments they engendered about climate science.
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On April 3, 1980, Walter Cronkite himself introduced a news segment regarding the greenhouse effect and the risk of global warming to the nationwide and top-ranked audience of the CBS Evening News.
That was nearly 30 years ago! John Lennon was still alive and singing, and the world hadn't even heard of Madonna (except in the religious context), as it would be a few years before Madonna the performer introduced her initial album.
Yet here we are, today. We read things like "Disarray in Denmark?" I'm not critiquing that part of the headline, of course. Instead, I'm pointing out that it does illustrate the problem on a much broader scale.
The whole passage of nearly 30 years, and a consideration of "where we are now" and the current media situation, taken together demonstrate and underscore a HUGE FAILURE of journalism and the news media. HUGE. And that's putting it mildly.
As it is CJR's job and task to examine and improve journalism, I'm appealing to CJR to do so, quickly and effectively and with no more hesitation or "kid gloves".
As I've mentioned before, I'd be happy to help. You know how to reach me.
Be Well,
Jeff
#1 Posted by Jeff Huggins, CJR on Thu 10 Dec 2009 at 08:49 PM
There charges are, respectively, wrong, out of context, wrong, and wrong (please refer The Observatory’s initial review of the controversy to understand why; or see Marc Ambinder’s factcheck of Palin’s op-ed at Atlantic.com).
When phrases like "Apply a VERY ARTIFICAL correction for decline" appear as comments in the code used to perform statistical analyses on weather station data, it just might lead some reasonable people to believe that some climate researchers might be more interested in verifying preconceived notions than generating an accurate climatologically record, Tim Lambert’s “Baghdad Bob” impersonations aside.
#2 Posted by Mike H, CJR on Fri 11 Dec 2009 at 05:12 PM
"There charges are respectively, wrong, out of context, wrong, and wrong .."
"There"?.... Come on! We don't expect you "watchdogs" to get the facts straight, but you could at least get the grammar right!
Secondly... The charges are valid- the AGW pseodoscience is unravelling left and right in one of the biggest stories of the century, and you "watchdogs" are tripping over yourselves to defend this anticapitalist fraudulent nonsense by hiding from the truth.
There is no consensus that greenhouse gases are causing warming. Indeed, there is not even any consensus that atmospheric CO2 levels have risen over the last 150 years:
"To assess whether the airborne fraction is indeed increasing, Wolfgang Knorr of the Department of Earth Sciences at the University of Bristol reanalyzed available atmospheric carbon dioxide and emissions data since 1850 and considers the uncertainties in the data.
In contradiction to some recent studies, he finds that the airborne fraction of carbon dioxide has not increased either during the past 150 years or during the most recent five decades.
The research is published in Geophysical Research Letters"
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/12/091230184221.htm
#3 Posted by padikiller, CJR on Fri 1 Jan 2010 at 10:15 AM