After last night’s win, it seems clear that Bill was right. The possible future first laddie has been railing against the press for the past few weeks—and went on a real tirade just hours before the polls opened in New Hampshire. His complaint, which I laid out yesterday, was that Hillary was being bombarded with negative press while Obama was getting a free pass.
In the days following the Iowa caucuses, it was hard to argue otherwise. Obama’s sunny speech left Hillary in the shadows and the full barrage of journalistic maltreatment was unloaded on her—from seriously unflattering close-ups of her wrinkles to rumors that she was going to pull-out of the race. Even the now famous lump in her throat (The Moment) was first spun as a negative. As we recorded yesterday, those who didn’t think she was outright faking it assumed the tears were proof that the woman (or any woman?) that needed to keep a box of Kleenex handy lacked the mettle to be commander-in-chief.
Bill Clinton was right to be angry at all this. Did it mean the press had vindictively turned against his wife? I don’t think so, and I tried to say as much yesterday. As we have noted countless times before, journalists—particularly those trying to spin endless days of the same stump speeches into gold—depend on a simple narrative thread they can follow. It makes it easier for them to write under deadline and, presumably, they think the reader wants that thread to grasp onto. And after Hillary’s defeat in Iowa, which ended her reign of inevitability, that narrative turned simply to: she’s toast.
But, as it turns out, the very thing that Bill was railing against might have been Hillary’s biggest asset last night. Why did Hillary win, after all, defying conventional wisdom and those pesky polls? The early analyses this morning point to two obvious reasons: one is the groundwork. The effort to get out the Democratic base—Clinton’s core—paid off and counterbalanced the independents and young voters coming out for Obama. But the other thing everyone seems to be mentioning is emotion. The combination of her angry and soft moments at the debate last Saturday, and her coffee shop cry, made voters—and older women especially—more sympathetic to a suddenly more humanoid-seeming Hillary.
I agree with this last sentiment—but with a slight twist. I don’t think it was the pure emotion, as some of my fellow bloggers, like Ben Smith, suggest. I think it has more to do with how the media covered that emotion. They just wouldn’t give her a break. Hillary’s burst of anger at John Edwards during the debate was described as shrill and unhinged; the tears, as I said earlier, were immediately interpreted as some kind of ploy, or a sign of weakness and even emotional instability. It was the voters who saw beneath the interpretation and actually perceived these moments as a glimpse at the real Hillary. The pundits and analysts missed this. To them she was just as inauthentic as ever, the narrative had not, could not, change. What I think the public in New Hampshire responded to—the backlash, if you will—was how these moments were spun. People saw the media’s inability to fit Clinton into any narrative other than the one the press had constructed for her, and they decided to give her a break, believing what they saw versus how they heard it characterized.
Hillary and Bill ran against the media’s depiction of her, their narrative of her, and she won the public’s sympathy.
And how quickly that narrative has now turned. She has risen from the dead. She’s the comeback kid. But she should be careful; Obama has a new and effective narrative attached to him now as well, one even more potent than being the revived frontrunner. As one AP headline put it: “N.H. returns Obama to underdog status.”


Speaking of "feelings"...
The unhinged coverage of Clinton's emotional blip was certainly high foolishness...but does anybody really know how voters were affected by the "display" or by the media ultra-fuss? Anybody? Will we ever know?
The opinions in this piece -- despite a couple of "I think.." qualifiers in there -- are presented as assertions. The voters "saw", "believed" and "decided to..", although nothing supports this here, not interviews, not research or firm anecdotes, not even casual street/coffee talk. It's a guess. Not a bad one, perhaps, but without more substantial framing, it leans disappointingly toward the very sort of things that seem to be derided in CJR: the self-assuming ominiscience and reflexive, over-eager games of characterization served up abundantly as voter perceptions and susceptibilities are painted, poked, weighed and stamped before and after balloting.
Yes, backlash happens. Citizens can make a point of bypassing media bullying and BS. So, sure, the described angle of voter reaction is a possibility. But the facts and argument here that would make it taller than any other it are...what? More of a…feeling? It rests on the writer’s experience and savvy? The experience and savvy may be ample, but are they enough to speak for thousands of voters who made a different choice from what was expected a day earlier?
"I don't really know, but I wonder if.." may not be the firmest or ideal way to introduce analysis and comment, but sometimes it would square up more suitably if pure assumption is what's comin' next.
Posted by AC
on Wed 9 Jan 2008 at 04:55 PM
Um, this is a blog. Of course the content is pretty much based on the writer's own perspective. Isn't that the whole point of blogging?
Seems to me that this is not where you go when you truly are looking for balanced, objective reporting and not opinions (fact-based or otherwise),
The writer does make some good points. The media started bashing Clinton as soon as Obama took Iowa. It seems to me that they, the big media outlets, are really trying to be participants in the process rather than observers of it. They thought they had this whole thing decided, based on polls and based on the fact that they started believing their own hype.
They had New Hampshire decided days before the polls opened.
I'm glad they were wrong. I think the best thing would be for big media outlets to get egg on their faces more often, so maybe they can remember what their job REALLY is. To lay out FACTS for the public, rather than trying to create what they think the facts should be.
Posted by PCMcL
on Fri 11 Jan 2008 at 09:31 AM